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Charting Sri Lanka’s Economic Future…..

By Rasith Wickremasinghe COYLE Chairman

The Sri Lankan economy currently grapples with the significant challenges presented by a complex financial situation unfolding in unprecedented ways. As the country tackles the intricacies of this economic turmoil to overcome fiscal obstacles, there is a prevailing sense of concern among the populace. Against this backdrop, the nation contends with politically motivated decision-making that bears the marks of a presidential election at the end of 2024.

Despite these existing realities, we remain optimistic about the rising potential through collective efforts and shared objectives driven by the nation’s private sector, aiming to revitalize the economy. In the present circumstances, positive indicators emerge as macroeconomic policy reforms start showing concrete outcomes, signalling a promising phase of stabilization in Sri Lanka’s economic landscape. Nonetheless, the path to recovery and inclusive growth relies on maintaining the ongoing momentum of these reforms.

Looking at the recent upgrade of Sri Lanka’s local currency rating from selective default (SD) to CCC+/C by S&P Global Ratings, there is a reflection of a more optimistic view of the country’s solvency. This upgrade follows the finalization of a domestic debt restructure, including collaboration with superannuation funds (EPF/ETF) and the Central Bank. https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-upgrades-sri-lanka-long-term-local-currency-idr-to-ccc-28-09-2023

The completion of the first IMF review under the 48-month Extended Fund Facility marks a significant milestone, unlocking access to SDR 254 million (about US$337 million) to support the country’s economic policies and reforms. Notably, Sri Lanka’s performance under the program has been deemed satisfactory, with the majority of performance criteria and indicative targets met by the end of June.

The publication of the Governance Diagnostic Report showcases a pioneering step, positioning Sri Lanka as the first country in Asia to undergo this IMF exercise. The commendable progress made by the authorities in restoring debt sustainability, raising revenue, and ensuring financial stability reflects a positive trajectory. Moving forward, a strong commitment to improving governance and protecting the welfare of the vulnerable will be crucial, laying the foundation for a resilient and prosperous economic future.

Examining Sri Lanka’s net general government debt, which currently exceeds 100% of GDP and is projected to persist until at least 2028, there are challenges ahead. Addressing concerns about long-term sustainability, potential positive shifts can be driven by factors such as nominal GDP growth, successful fiscal consolidation, increased revenue generation, current interest rates, and the positive impacts of future restructuring efforts. By navigating these aspects effectively, Sri Lanka has the potential to enhance its fiscal outlook and achieve more favourable outcomes in the coming years. https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-upgrades-sri-lanka-long-term-local-currency-idr-to-ccc-28-09-2023

It’s noteworthy that Sri Lanka’s Budget for 2024 presents ambitious targets, though they pose challenges, particularly with the projected wider fiscal deficit of 9.1% of GDP. The government’s focus on achieving a primary surplus, excluding bank recapitalization, aligns with the IMF’s projections. However, the expenditure target of 22.2% of GDP exceeds the IMF’s envisioned 19.7%. While this discrepancy may raise questions, it also reflects a commitment to ambitious goals, and successful implementation could enhance the budget’s long-term viability and effectiveness. https://island.lk/sri-lankas-ambitious-budget-agenda-faces-high-implementation-risks-fitch-ratings/

Fitch Ratings has already expressed concerns about the government’s plan to reach its revenue target by 2024. Sri Lanka has a history of not meeting fiscal goals, with revenue collection falling short by 29% in the first nine months of 2023. Recently, the government has planned a revenue increase of nearly 45% in 2024, with a confirmed 3-percentage-point rise in the value-added tax to 18%.

We believe as far as tax revenue is concerned, widening the tax net or the number of taxpayers in the country is more critical than raising the percentage values. Only as little as 2.6% of Sri Lanka’s total workforce of 4.64 million is subjected to the PAYE income tax. Nearly half of the labour force receives less than Rs.30,000 monthly salary, while 3.91 million families, out of 5.8 million families, are seeking state assistance to continue their livelihoods. In 2021, there were about 105,000 registered companies, and 60,721 had income tax files, from which 82 per cent of the corporate income taxes were paid by 342 companies. https://economynext.com/sri-lanka-only-has-137-persons-who-paid-income-taxes-of-rs5mn-or-more-legislator-100108/#:~:text=Sri%20Lanka%20in%202021%20had,were%20paid%20by%20342%20companies

What baffles us mostly is the number of tax files reported by the inland revenue which is recorded to be only 500,000 as per the Commissioner Association Inland Revenue department. https://www.newsfirst.lk/2023/07/27/tott-only-500-000-tax-files-in-sri-lanka-president-commissioner-association-27-07-2023/ . If the recorded number of tax files is only 500,000 out of the 5.8 Million families in Sri Lanka, we must ask the question of what has happened to the rest of the taxpayers.

Several businesses in Sri Lanka, whether small, medium, or large, conduct their transactions mainly through cash.  Despite how much they earn, there can be several loopholes they can harness for tax evasion. Even though it is apparent in many ways, there is little to no step taken forward to curb the issue owing to political gains or the mass displeasures that could arise curbing the future of many political affiliates in the decision-making process.

Concurrently, the growing wealth gap between the affluent and less privileged segments of the population is reaching alarming levels, compelling numerous skilled professionals to seek better opportunities abroad.

It’s not just the taxation system; the government’s inability to overhaul unprofitable state-owned enterprises (SOEs) adds to the discontent. The weight of these financially struggling entities falls disproportionately on a limited number of taxpayers, causing widespread chaos that ripples through the entire system. This, in turn, has a cascading impact on the economy and Sri Lankan society. An aspect often overlooked by many governing parties owing to their political future. Given that a significant portion of those affected by these restructuring efforts comprises a substantial voter base and influential circles in the country, there appears to be a reluctance among decision-makers to take the necessary corrective actions.

One of the contributing factors for the IMF to provide the second tranche was the promise to reduce the commercial bank interest rates to single digits, which is yet to be done. Even though the president and the CBSL have requested the above, several parties have been insensitive about the situation and requests. As COYLE, we emphasize the importance of expanding the tax potential net and then further tracking the registered yet inactive member mass. However, we can observe, that the government is now distracted to a path more concerned with securing votes for the upcoming elections as opposed to the earlier economic revival path, which has diminished its momentum from the critical pace of decision-making on SOE restructuring.

This will bring us to COYLE’s point of view on how we can set further to solve the foreign currency deficit by adopting different and dynamic strategies. At COYLE, we believe Sri Lanka must look at foreign direct investments with changing state policy decisions to have a more attractive and investor-friendly outlook to attract numerous investors from booming industries. We urge the Parliamentary Select Committee on Ease of Doing Business to reactivate and pursue proactive steps towards ensuring FDIs are secure in the country without further delay.

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4 COMMENTS

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  2. Männer haben zwar deutlich mehr testosteron durch Muskelaufbau Testosteron im Körper als Frauen, dennoch kann auch bei ihnen der Testosteronspiegel zu hoch
    sein. Wie bei den Frauen kann auch bei Männern ein zu hoher Testosterongehalt im
    Blut ein Symptom für verschiedene Grunderkrankungen sein.
    Zu hohe Testosteronwerte können zum Beispiel ein Hinweis darauf sein, dass Männer
    Dopingmittel einnehmen, ein Hodentumor oder eine Krebserkrankung der Nebenniere vorliegt oder eine Androgen-Resistenz besteht.

    LabCorp (das Labor, in dem ich meine T-Werte hier in Tulsa, OK, testen ließ)
    gibt zum Beispiel einen Referenzbereich von 348 – 1197 ng/dl (Nanogramm pro Deziliter) für den Gesamttestosteronspiegel an. Nach diesem
    Referenzbereich würde mein Gesamttestosteronspiegel von 383 ng/dl zu Beginn meines Experiments bedeuten, dass mein Gesamt-T-Spiegel – gerade noch – im Normalbereich lag.

    Heute werden wir uns ansehen, was als normaler Testosteronspiegel gilt und wie
    Sie Ihren Testosteronspiegel testen lassen können. Sogar medizinische Labors geben widersprüchliche Zahlen darüber an, was ein normaler Testosteronspiegel ist.

    Es wird oft als das “männliche” Sexualhormon bezeichnet,
    da es für die Entwicklung und Aufrechterhaltung männlicher Merkmale wie Bartwuchs,
    Muskelmasse und eine tiefe Stimme verantwortlich ist.
    Allerdings haben Frauen ebenfalls Testosteron in ihrem Körper,
    jedoch in deutlich niedrigeren Konzentrationen. Krebserkrankungen gehören nach wie vor zu den häufigsten Todesursachen. Dabei lassen sich
    heute viele Krebsarten erfolgreich behandeln – vorausgesetzt, sie werden frühzeitig
    erkannt. Vorsorgeuntersuchungen sind deshalb das A und O, um die Überlebenschancen zu erhöhen.
    Grundsätzlich ist die langfristige Einnahme des Hormonersatzpräparats nicht gefährlich.
    Allerding sollte diese immer unter ärztlicher
    Kontrolle stattfinden.
    Auf Dauer führt dies zu dünnen, fibrotischen und geschwächten Gefäßen, was das Risiko eines hämorrhagischen Schlaganfalls erhöht.

    Außerdem muss das Herz das Blut gegen einen höheren als
    den normalen Druck pumpen, was zu Herzproblemen, wie z.
    Die Atkins-Diät senkt nachweislich sowohl den systolischen als auch den diastolischen Blutdruck.

    Bei Fragen zu DNA-Abstammungstests oder DNA im Allgemeinen können Sie diese gerne im Kommentarbereich unten stellen.
    Die Keto-Diät ist ein Stoffwechselzustand, bei dem der Körper von Glukose als primäre Energiequelle auf Ketonkörper umstellt.

    Um diesen Stoffwechselzustand zu erreichen, muss die Makronährstoffzufuhr
    durch Anpassung der Portionsgrößen angepasst werden. Sehen wir
    uns an, welche Makronährstoffe die wichtigsten sind und wie die Keto-Diät ihr Verhältnis verändert.

    Bei unseren Heimtests können Sie die Probe selbst entnehmen und sie dann in einem frankierten Umschlag an das Labor schicken. Das Labor analysiert dann die Probe und schickt Ihnen die Ergebnisse direkt zu.
    Möglicherweise haben Sie an der Stelle, an der die Nadel eingeführt wurde, leichte Schmerzen oder Blutergüsse, aber die meisten Symptome verschwinden schnell.
    Es ist jedoch wichtig zu beachten, dass nicht alle Milchprodukte gleich viel Laktose enthalten. Manche Menschen vertragen geringe Mengen Laktose, während
    andere vollständig darauf verzichten müssen. Denken Sie an ein paar gesunde, protein- und kalziumreiche Lebensmittel.

    In diesem Artikel erläutern wir die Grundprinzipien dieser Diät und wie
    Makronährstoffe angepasst werden. Viele Menschen befürchten, dass eine vegane Ernährung
    ausreichend Proteinquellen liefert. Viele argumentieren, Fleisch und Milchprodukte seien bessere Proteinquellen als pflanzliche Lebensmittel.

    Studien zeigen jedoch, dass eine ausgewogene und abwechslungsreiche vegane Ernährung alle Nährstoffbedürfnisse
    des Körpers erfüllen kann. Dieses Getreide erfreut sich zunehmender Beliebtheit,
    insbesondere bei Veganern und Menschen mit Glutenunverträglichkeit.

    Ich empfehle Ihnen, Ihren Gesamttestosteronwert mit der LC/MS-Methode zu bestimmen und für die
    Messung des freien Testosterons eine beliebige
    Methode zu verwenden, die verfügbar und kostengünstig ist.
    Natürlich bin ich nur ein Mann, der einen Blog über Männlichkeit schreibt, also nehmen Sie diese Empfehlung mit Vorsicht auf.
    Direkt nach der Geburt erleben männliche Säuglinge einen kurzzeitigen Anstieg
    des Testosteronspiegels, der jedoch bald wieder abfällt.
    Diese Phase ist wichtig für die Entwicklung verschiedener Organe und Gewebe, auch wenn
    die Testosteronkonzentrationen gering sind.

    Doch Cholesterin ist auch der Baustein aller Geschlechtshormone, sowohl
    männlicher als auch weiblicher. Die meisten Menschen verbinden Testosteron ausschließlich mit pubertären Merkmalen wie Haarwuchs, Vertiefung der Stimme
    und sexuellem Verlangen. Untersuchungen deuten außerdem darauf hin,
    dass eine Testosterontherapie, richtig und unter ärztlicher Aufsicht durchgeführt, ein sicherer und wirksamer Weg
    ist, um den Hormonspiegel zu erhöhen. Allerdings, sagt Diokno, bedürfe es noch weiterer
    Forschung – um zu sehen, wer genau davon profitieren könnte.

  3. Cependant, de manière anecdotique, nous avons vu des SERM tels que Nolvadex exacerber les niveaux de
    progestérone sur Deca. Cependant, les IA peuvent aggraver les niveaux de pression artérielle,
    c’est pourquoi nos patients ne les prennent que
    si les mamelons commencent à gonfler. Cela fait de la testostérone un partenaire d’empilement complémentaire – étant donné
    qu’il s’agit d’un stéroïde androgène, les niveaux de
    DHT resteront élevés pendant un cycle.

    La testostérone peut accélérer l’amincissement des cheveux sur le cuir chevelu en raison des niveaux élevés de DHT.
    Cette transformation provient d’un bodybuilder sur YouTube qui a utilisé du propionate de testostérone pour son premier cycle.

    L’undécanoate de testostérone injectable est une forme de testostérone à motion très lente.
    Un avantage unique est qu’elle ne doit être injectée qu’une fois toutes les deux semaines.
    Ce sont les esters préférés par la plupart des débutants automotive ils nécessitent des
    injections moins fréquentes (une fois tous les 4-5 jours).

    Par conséquent, si les utilisateurs préfèrent prendre des stéroïdes
    oraux pendant leur premier cycle, l’Anavar et le Dianabol peuvent être des choix privilégiés.
    Si votre cycle se termine par un courtroom ester de testostérone, vous
    commencerez votre programme PCT quelques jours après votre dernière injection.
    Généralement, si vous avez eu de l’acné pendant
    la puberté ou si vous avez actuellement une chute des cheveux, ce cycle peut aggraver l’un ou l’autre ou les deux.

    Trenbolone, comme Deca Durabolin, offre une activité progestérone modérée – ayant
    le potentiel de provoquer une gynécomastie. Ainsi, les utilisateurs
    peuvent vouloir éviter d’utiliser les SERM pour éviter
    d’aggraver les niveaux de progestérone. La testostérone/Trenbolone produira des positive aspects de taille
    similaires à ceux du cycle Testostérone/Dianabol,
    mais sans la rétention d’eau supplémentaire. Deca fonctionne
    également bien avec la testostérone, automobile il nécessite un cycle lengthy, automobile il s’agit également
    d’un stéroïde à motion lente. Rester à faible dose peut rapidement conduire à des plateaux, cependant en augmentant la dose et la durée
    du cycle ; les utilisateurs peuvent continuer à ajouter du muscle
    et de la force.
    Anadrol provoquera une augmentation rapide des enzymes AST et ALT; tous deux étant des marqueurs de
    stress hépatique. C’est l’une des piles de stéroïdes,
    sinon la plus sûre, que les bodybuilders peuvent prendre.
    Un PCT agressif de hCG, Nolvadex et Clomid sera également nécessaire sur ce cycle Test/Tren pour éviter
    un crash presque certain (et pour aider à solidifier les gains).

    L’élément unique de cette pile est qu’elle est très androgène, donc il y aura
    une perte de graisse considérable ; ainsi que des gains de force/muscle exceptionnels.
    La testostérone et le Deca Durabolin font exception à cette règle, les deux composés n’affectant pas le foie et n’ayant que
    des impacts modestes sur le cholestérol dans nos
    LPT (tests de profil lipidique).
    Il existe aujourd’hui des checks à plus haut milligramme disponibles dans
    de nombreux laboratoires UGL et certains mélanges comme « Andropen » qui sont composés
    de 5 types différents d’esters de take a look at.
    Bien que ce stéroïQuelles Cellules Produisent De La TestostéRone ?
    Quizlet (Amigomanpower.Com) puisse être
    injecté une fois par semaine, il est plus courant de l’administrer deux fois/semaine pour profiter pleinement du Propionate de Testostérone à action plus courte dans le composé.
    Le mélange se compose de 30 mg de Propionate de testostérone, 60 mg d’Isocaproate de testostérone, 60 mg de Phénylproionate de testostérone et
    a hundred mg de Décanoate de testostérone. Beaucoup de ceux qui connaîtraient
    une gynécomastie avec un test à longue chaîne n’auront aucun problème avec le propionate de take a look at.

    La testostérone supprime la manufacturing naturelle de testostérone après le
    cycle, ce qui provoque un déséquilibre hormonal. Les niveaux de
    testostérone naturelle mettent entre 1 et 4 mois à
    se rétablir, en fonction du dosage, de la durée du cycle et de la fréquence d’utilisation des stéroïdes.
    Par conséquent, le coût réel de l’exécution d’un cycle de testostérone commonplace avec du propionate s’avère être 2,5 fois plus élevé.
    En outre, les injections de propionate sont connues pour être douloureuses, ce qui conduit de
    nombreux bodybuilders à opter pour d’autres esters.
    Bien qu’il ne soit pas trop dur lorsqu’il est pris à des doses modestes, les effets secondaires
    sont susceptibles d’être plus prononcés par
    rapport aux cycles de testostérone et d’Anavar.
    Certains débutants choisissent de ne pas faire de thérapie post-cycle
    (PCT) après l’Anavar, automobile les niveaux de testostérone endogène se rétablissent généralement rapidement.

    Cet effet brûle-graisse est dû aux récepteurs aux androgènes augmentant l’expression du CPTI
    (carnitine palmitoyltransférase I), diminuant par conséquent la masse grasse.
    Le trenbolone a en fait des propriétés diurétiques, d’où la façon dont il est également utilisé comme agent de coupe.

    Le trenbolone est le stéroïde le plus convoité sur le
    marché lorsque les gens veulent avoir l’air aussi fou que attainable – tout en paraissant sec et vasculaire.

    Le dosage de Check E est le même que celui du cypionate de testostérone et la plus grande différence entre les
    deux est que tu trouveras Test E le plus souvent
    dans une préparation de 250 mg/ml contre 200 mg/ml
    pour le cypionate de testostérone. Elle est le plus souvent injectée
    une fois par semaine, mais cette fréquence peut augmenter avec
    des doses plus élevées du médicament. Le cypionate de testostérone ou
    « cyp » est probablement le kind de testostérone synthétique le plus courant sur le marché.
    Si je voulais prendre 500 mg/semaine de check,
    je me baserais sur les valeurs de l’étiquette et
    je ferais avec. C’est un bon premier cycle car tu peux expérimenter directement ce
    que la testostérone ajoutée peut faire pour ton corps.
    D’autres médicaments que ceux énumérés précédemment
    peuvent interagir avec ce médicament.Signalez à votre médecin tout ce que vous prenez, qu’il s’agisse de médicaments
    sur ordonnance ou en vente libre et de remèdes à base de
    plantes médicinales.

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